Da questo mese, Limes diventa mensile e inaugura la serie dei numeri mensili con un volume dedicato all’Egitto e alla Fratellanza musulmana:
Su questo numero ci sono due articoli miei: uno sul Sinai e la problematica proiezione di sovranità del Cairo su questo spazio “chiave” ma storicamente riluttante al controllo degli “Africani della Valle del Nilo” e un altro scritto con la collega della LUISS Meryem Akabouch sui percorsi politici della Fratellanza Musulmana in Algeria e Marocco:
Se avete commenti o critiche potere come al solito scrivermi a mediterraneaneye [at] gmail [dot] com
Posted in 1st Circle, Africa, Algeria, Arab Spring, Egypt, Maghreb, Mashreq, Mediterranean, Middle East, Morocco | Tagged Africa, Algeria, Arab Spring, Egypt, Maghreb, Mashreq, Mediterranean, Middle East | Leave a Comment »
My latest article for the Jamestown Foundation:
The attack on the gas facility at In Amenas highlighted two major problems that will rise to the top of the Algerian government’s policy agenda over the next few weeks:
- Although Algeria is the strongest of the states of the Maghreb/Sahel region, the length of its borders and the turbulence of its neighbors (Libya and Tunisia in the east, Mali to the south) make it difficult to fully control all of its frontiers.
- The attack at In Aménas will represent a psychological deterrent to some foreign oil companies to upgrade facilities or invest in Algeria for some time. Therefore, the need to strengthen domestic security and border controls will become a security priority, making a direct military engagement in Mali more difficult and problematic.
As long as AQIM and its affiliates were operating “horizontally” in the Sahelian strip, with their bases in northern Mali, that situation remained acceptable to Algiers because it was not perceived as a structural threat to the state. However, the In Aménas attack will likely push Algeria to focus even more on the security of its borders and its domestic environment. Although the military involvement of Algeria in the Malian conflict cannot be completely ruled out, above all if the French intervention should prove to be less effective than thought, direct engagement still remains extremely improbable.
Posted in 1st Circle, 2nd Circle, Africa, Algeria, Arab Spring, Maghreb, Mali, Mediterranean, Sahel | Tagged Africa, Algeria, Ansar al-Dine, AQIM, Arab Spring, France, Maghreb, Malì, Mediterranean, MOJWA, Sahel, Terrorism, Tuareg, Violence | Leave a Comment »
in March 2013 I will direct, together with my Egyptian colleague Nesreen K. El Molla, one of the workshops of the 14th Mediterranean Research Meeting, the annual gathering on Mediterranean affairs organized by the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies of the European University Institute. The 2013 edition will be organized in collaboration with Mersin University (Turkey) and will be held in the city of Mersin from 20 to 23 March 2013. Mersin is a wonderful place on the Mediterranean coast of Southern Turkey. I have been there once and is a lovely place to visit. Moreover, it is very close to other very nice places in Turkey, such as Adana, Silifke and Tarsus and the overall area is worth a visit.
The workshop will focus on EU Democracy Promotion and the Arab Spring. Papers are welcome from scholars as well as practitioners who are interested in these topics and to get engaged in a network of like-minded peers.
- The deadline for submitting the paper proposal: 15 September 2012. More details on the selection process can be found here.
- Communication of acceptance by : 1 October 2012
- Final version of the paper due by: 15 February 2013
- Mediterranean Research Meeting: 20 – 23 March 2013
For more information, our contacts are:
Nesreen K. El Molla, Cairo University, Egypt: email@example.com
Dario Cristiani, King’s College London, United Kingdom – Global Governance Institute , Belgium: firstname.lastname@example.org
We look forward to receive your abstracts. Feel free to get in touch if you have any question.
Posted in 1st Circle, Arab Spring, European Union, Foreign Policy, Mediterranean | Tagged Arab Spring, Call for papers, Democracy, European Union, Maghreb, Mashreq, Mediterranean | Leave a Comment »
Atlantic Community is one of the most lively and interesting websites dealing with transatlantic and security issues. Recently, it has published a very interesting policy memo made of the five best submissions for Atlantic-community.org’s “Your Ideas, Your NATO” policy workshop competition. The papers were written by Alexander Corbeil, Geoffrey Levin, Vivien Pertusot, Josiah Surface and my valuable MEMS PhD colleague Gillian Kennedy.
To read the full paper, click here. Below you can find the introduction to the memo.
Partners in Democracy, Partners in Security: NATO and the Arab Spring, MEMO 39, Atlantic Community.
The Arab Spring has created significant challenges and unprecedented opportunities for NATO and its partners in the Mediterranean region. New security issues have emerged alongside new regimes and regional instability looms. State failure, civil conflict, and institutional collapse could present a number of major security threats, among them the creation of a refugee crisis affecting NATO members, increased illegal arms trafficking, and a breeding ground for militant groups in a Somali-like setting near European shores.
These threats highlight the need for NATO to set up a plan for fostering regional stability and developing good relations with new and emerging leaders. The changing nature of regional security and Arab governance demands a multi-faceted approach which requires NATO to draw on expertise beyond its own, especially in empowering civil society and youth groups that are the cornerstone of sustainable democracy.
Such new challenges require new partnerships and this memo intends to convey two core recommendations: restructure the Mediterranean Dialogue (MD) to allow for a more incentivized and effective partnership, and partner with other institutional actors to enable NATO to offer a more comprehensive assistance package. NATO should play to its strengths while working with organizations that specialize in other tasks that are necessary to meet these goals. Only robust partnerships will allow NATO to meet these security needs in a time of greater fiscal austerity.
Posted in 1st Circle, 2nd Circle, Arab Spring, European Union, Foreign Policy, Mediterranean, U.S. | Tagged Arab Spring, European Union, Mediterranean, Nato, U.S. | Leave a Comment »
Caught in the “crossfire” of PhD thesis writing (the hardest task is to start writing after doing researches for years but when you start, then you can’t get enough) and several different projects ranging from academic stuff to policy oriented works, time is running fast. Between April and May, I will publish several articles concerning security developments in North Africa and the Mediterranean. The first two were released recently.
One, for the Jamestown Foundation, deals with the emergence of MOJWA in West Africa.
Marking a clear dividing line between conjecture and factual evidence is always particularly troublesome when dealing with the jihadist phenomenon in this region. According to the claim made by MOJWA, it differs from AQIM in strategic priorities, internal organization and ideological foundations. The attack in Tamanrasset and the non-Algerian leadership are consistent with this claim. The real question is whether this group has truly severed itself from AQIM, representing a potential regional competitor in both in the jihadist domain and more mundane smuggling activities, or is it simply another sub-group of the already internally fragmented AQIM, working more specifically in the territories of western Africa?
The second one was published last week by the Global Governance Institute and was written with my valuable colleagues Joy Alemazung and Dustin Dehez. The topic is a very “hot one” in my opinion, as it deals with the partial failures and problems the EU is experiencing in the Sahelian region, above all in the wake of Mali’s coup.
The next steps forward: a series of articles dealing with: Libya; AQIM (with a specific focus on maritime issues); EU in the Mediterranean, Sahelian and Maghrebi security. Stay tuned.
Posted in 1st Circle, 2nd Circle, Africa, Algeria, Arab Spring, Maghreb, Mali, Mediterranean | Tagged Africa, Algeria, AQIM, Arab Spring, Maghreb, Malì, Mediterranean, Sahel, Terrorism | Leave a Comment »