The Future of the Mediterranean

While waiting for a few articles to come out in the coming weeks (a couple on Libya, something on (in)security in North Africa, and one on Italy as well), I have recently focused my attention on two major streams of research: the future of the Mediterranean and the connections between economy, terrorism and sub-state groups in North Africa, with a specific focus on Libya.  Continue reading

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The Italian exception and the evolution of Jihadism in the Mediterranean

As everyone working in the Academia knows, trying to write during the teaching semester is always somewhat challenging. Indeed, I have not managed to write as much as hoped during the past few months. However, I have still managed to finish – and publish – a few works. My most recent article deals with “the Italian Exception” in the rather depressing landscape of a Europe under the perennial threat of terrorism. Italy, so far, has managed to weather this danger thanks to a number of peculiar socio-demographic features but also to its rather significant investigative capacities, those that Italy has developed over the past decades and make Italy one of the most efficient countries in Europe in dealing with criminal and security threats. This is part of a more comprehensive research I am doing on Italy and terrorist risks, and the hope is to produce something bigger and more detailed in the coming months. Always on Italy, I wrote an article a few months ago describing the impact of the rising role played by Russia in the Mediterranean, namely in Libya.

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AQIM at 10 and other works

Greetings from Tunis, where I am spending a few months to do some research before returning to my Fall teaching routine. At the moment, I am working on a few, rather diverse projects, and I hope I can give you some more updates very soon. In the meantime, I have published a few works for the Jamestown Foundation: Continue reading

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Consolidating pluralism under the terrorist threat: the Tunisian case and the Algerian experience

At the end of 2016, I published a research/policy article on European View, analysing the current Tunisian troubled, but still successful, path to consolidate democracy to the Algerian experience of the ’80s and ’90s. Below you can find the conclusions, but if you want to download the full article in PDF, click here. Ça va sans dire, I would be very happy to receive readers’ comments on this work (you can use the email address provided in the article).

The Algerian experience during the 1990s shows that the emergence of radical Islamist terrorism can become a systemic threat which has the potential to put the structure of the state at risk and to inflict political, social and psychological wounds that are particularly complicated, if not impossible, to heal. Continue reading

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The internal and external Algerian thorns

I have recently published two analyses on Algeria for the Jamestown Foundation. The first one, published in early December, dealt with the Libyan problems and how Algiers is trying to exert “Influence Without Interference“, sticking to its traditional foreign policy doctrine of non-intervention in the internal affairs of other States.

The second one was published last week and was instead focused on the riots that erupted in Algeria in early January 2017. As you can see from my words, I don’t actually agree with that strange ‘Pavlovian reflex’ of many in the West, who think that every eruption of violence in the Middle East and North Africa is the beginning of a new ‘Arab Spring’ (whatever this expression means now). That said, Algeria is undergoing a rather complex phase of its history, possibly one of the most challenging since the end of the civil war. As such, it’s worth giving an eye (or better, two) on what will happen within the country in the coming months.

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